Warsh's keynote at the Kansas City Fed's annual symposium leaned hawkish, prompting traders to quickly raise bets on a September rate hike. Bitcoin dipped to $78,400 in the immediate aftermath, as Warsh downplayed softer recent inflation prints and gave markets no rate-cut hints. With real-rate expectations now shifting upward, the rate path toward September 16 becomes the dominant near-term price variable for Bitcoin.